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If judging purely by technical merit, perhaps. Yet what matters for the UMA is fan appeal, and it is by no means inevitable that fans will choose professional animation over, say, a particularly strong example of amateur live-action. What matters most is whether they have seen, or at least heard of a work.

Just last year, Bitter Lake was nominated for Best Motion Picture, with our resident movie critic uncertain of its chances. It's unclear how close the vote was, but I imagine it had its supporters. Similarly, Crayon Dragon is a student film.

Other categories are highly competitive. In several years, fan comics have won; in others, works by professional comic artists. Increasingly, the line is blurred - Twokinds could be seen as an fan-comic, yet it raised around $200,000 last year. Likewise, I suspect Heat (which for several years won Best Magazine) makes a not-insignificant amount of money. You could argue that these works are not by "outsiders", but how much are you willing to bet that My Little Pony will not be a dark-horse candidate for Best Graphic Story next year?

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